Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.037822 0.040886 0.044106 0.047744 0.051749 0.056029 0.060957
2025-03-16 0.032177 0.036385 0.041050 0.046626 0.053136 0.060526 0.069595
2025-03-23 0.028668 0.033524 0.039131 0.046123 0.054669 0.064846 0.077994
2025-03-30 0.026083 0.031328 0.037585 0.045663 0.055916 0.068624 0.085773
2025-04-06 0.023813 0.029239 0.035887 0.044723 0.056301 0.071152 0.091963
2025-04-13 0.022561 0.028269 0.035438 0.045228 0.058447 0.075962 0.101419
2025-04-20 0.021291 0.027154 0.034679 0.045205 0.059803 0.079721 0.109647
2025-04-27 0.020419 0.026478 0.034417 0.045778 0.061943 0.084636 0.119856
2025-05-04 0.019355 0.025466 0.033618 0.045520 0.062846 0.087796 0.127673
2025-05-11 0.018437 0.024588 0.032933 0.045347 0.063815 0.091060 0.135857
2025-05-18 0.017574 0.023731 0.032215 0.045059 0.064557 0.093989 0.143700
2025-05-25 0.016854 0.023031 0.031670 0.044972 0.065565 0.097352 0.152484
2025-06-01 0.016000 0.022103 0.030756 0.044290 0.065627 0.099255 0.159058
2025-06-08 0.015152 0.021143 0.029745 0.043395 0.065284 0.100466 0.164530
2025-06-15 0.014497 0.020433 0.029065 0.042963 0.065638 0.102818 0.172186
2025-06-22 0.013896 0.019774 0.028424 0.042548 0.065976 0.105139 0.179959
2025-06-29 0.013227 0.018980 0.027538 0.041686 0.065502 0.106012 0.185079
2025-07-06 0.012926 0.018732 0.027479 0.042150 0.067285 0.110934 0.198352
2025-07-13 0.012530 0.018319 0.027139 0.042129 0.068220 0.114391 0.209072
2025-07-20 0.012282 0.018125 0.027132 0.042655 0.070137 0.119761 0.224158
2025-07-27 0.011882 0.017673 0.026690 0.042418 0.070667 0.122573 0.234219
2025-08-03 0.011522 0.017270 0.026309 0.042260 0.071322 0.125653 0.245138
2025-08-10 0.011160 0.016850 0.025880 0.041995 0.071758 0.128329 0.255430